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May ’15 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates

  • May 12, 2015
  • by wbabler
May '15 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates *Significant changes are highlighted ’14/’15 Corn o Exports were increased 25 million but industrial food and seed use was down 50 million leaving ending stocks higher at 1.85 billion bushels. ’15/’16 Corn o Initial projections for new crop showed production in line with expectations using a trend line yield estimate of 166.8 bushels per acre. o Feed and residual usage estimates are increased 50 million bushels versus prior year and exports are initially projected 75 million higher. o Ending stocks were projected at 1.75 billion bushels or 46.3 days of use which was on the low end of private analyst estimates. ’14/’15 Soybeans o Crush and exports were revised higher by 10 million bushels leaving ending stocks at 350 million. ’15/’16 Soybeans o Total production was estimated 119 million bushels below last year using trend line yields on the March acreage intentions data. o Crush was increased 20 million bushels to match growth in livestock numbers and production while exports are 25 million lower as burdensome world supplies limit US soybean competitiveness. o Ending stocks were projected 500 million bushels or 48.9 days of use. This was on the high side of private estimates. Other Markets o US wheat production was below expectations for the new crop period but world wheat production was well above expectations leaving carryout at the highest level in fifteen years. o World soybean production was estimated at record levels pushing ending stocks to another record high forecast of 96 million metric tons versus 63 million two years ago. Click below for a downloadable pdf file. May ’15 USDA World Agriculture Supply and Demand Estimates
Atten Babler Corn & Soybeans FX Indexes – May ’15
Atten Babler Corn & Soybeans FX Indices – Jun ’15
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