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U.S. Dairy Cow Slaughter Update – Mar ’16

  • March 28, 2016
  • by wbabler
According to USDA, Feb ’16 U.S. dairy cow slaughter of 256,400 head declined 5.5% MOM but finished 1.2% higher YOY when normalized for slaughter days. U.S. dairy cow slaughter rates have declined seasonally by an average of 3.9% MOM when normalized for slaughter days from January – February over the past ten years. ’15-’16 YTD dairy cow slaughter is up 1.6% YOY throughout the first five months of the production season. Monthly US Dairy Cow Slaughter - Mar 16 The monthly YOY increase in dairy cow slaughter was the fifth experienced in the past six months. Increased slaughter rates contributed to the U.S. milk cow herd declining to an 11 month low during Jan ’16, although the herd rebounded slightly during Feb ’16. The total U.S. milk cow herd currently stands at 9.312 million head, remaining 4,000 head more than February of last year. Monthly US Dairy Cow Slaughter2 - Mar 16 The most significant MOM decline in dairy cow slaughter was exhibited in Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas), followed by Standard Federal Region 3 (Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia). Figures for Standard Federal Region 5 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin) were withheld to avoid disclosing data for individual operators. Feb 16 MOM US Dairy Cow Slaughter by Standard Federal Region - Mar 16 The largest YOY increase in dairy cow slaughter was exhibited in Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas), followed by Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada). YOY declines in dairy cow slaughter were experienced in Standard Federal Region 3 (Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia). Feb 16 YOY US Dairy Cow Slaughter by Standard Federal Region - Mar 16 Dairy cow slaughter within Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas) declined 15.6% MOM from the monthly record high experienced in Jan ’16 but remained 9.0% higher on a YOY basis when normalized for slaughter days. Effects from Winter Storm Goliath were experienced throughout recent months, contributing to the YOY gains. ’15-’16 YTD dairy cow slaughter had been up just 2.1% YOY throughout the first quarter of the production season within Standard Federal Region 6, prior to the sharp increases experienced during the past two months. Monthly US Dairy Cow Slaughter Region 6 - Mar 16 Dairy cow slaughter within Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada) declined 2.0% MOM but finishing 2.0% higher YOY when normalized for slaughter days. ’15-’16 YTD dairy cow slaughter is up 0.6% YOY throughout the first five months of the production season within Standard Federal Region 9. Monthly US Dairy Cow Slaughter Region 9 - Mar 16
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Winter Storm Goliath’s Impact on the U.S. Dairy Industry – Mar 16
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