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Atten Babler Ethanol FX Indices – Sep ’20

  • September 2, 2020
  • by Belinda Przybylski
The Atten Babler Commodities Ethanol Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices were mixed throughout Aug ’20. The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index increased slightly from the previous month however the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index declined to a six month low level. Global Ethanol Producers: Major ethanol producers are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, the EU-28, China, India and Canada. The U.S. accounts for half of the USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index while Brazil accounts for over a quarter of the index. USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index: The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index increased 0.6 points during Aug ’20, finishing at a value of 135.0. The USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index has increased 7.6 points throughout the past six months and 30.4 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. ethanol relative to other major producing regions (represented in green in the Global Ethanol Producers chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. USD appreciation within the USD/Ethanol Producer FX Index during Aug ’20 was led by gains against the Brazilian real. USD declines were exhibited against the euro, Canadian dollar, Chinese yuan renminbi and Indian rupee. U.S. Ethanol Export Destinations: Major destinations for U.S. ethanol exports are led by Canada, followed by the Philippines, Brazil, the United Arab Emirates, Peru and Mexico. Canada accounts for over a half of the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index while the Philippines, Brazil, the United Arab Emirates, Peru and Mexico each account for between 5-10% of the index. USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index: The USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index declined 1.3 points throughout Aug ’20, finishing at a six month low value of 113.3. Despite declining from the previous month, the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index remains up 2.4 points throughout the past six months and 25.6 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. ethanol (represented in red in the U.S. Ethanol Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real and Canadian dollar has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Domestic Ethanol Importer FX Index during Aug ’20 was led by gains by the Canadian dollar, followed by gains by the euro and Philippine peso. USD declines were exhibited against the Brazilian real and Jamaican dollar.  
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Atten Babler Commodities LLC
11406 US Route 20 W
Galena, IL 61036
800-884-8290
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