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Atten Babler Corn & Soybeans FX Indices – Oct…

  • October 2, 2020
  • by Belinda Przybylski
Corn FX Indices: The Atten Babler Commodities Corn Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices were mixed throughout Sep ’20. The USD/Corn Exporter FX Index increased to a record high level however the USD/Corn Importer FX Index and USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index each declined to seven month low levels throughout the month. Global Corn Net Trade: Major net corn exporters are led by the U.S., followed by Brazil, Ukraine, Argentina, Russia and India (represented in green in the chart below). Major net corn importers are led by the EU-28, followed by Japan, Mexico, South Korea, Egypt and Iran (represented in red in the chart below). The United States accounts for over two fifths of the USD/Corn Exporter FX Index, followed by Brazil at 18%, Ukraine at 16% and Argentina at 10%. The EU-28 and Japan each account for 14% of the USD/Corn Importer FX Index. Mexico, South Korea, Egypt and Iran each account for between 5-10% of the index. USD/Corn Exporter FX Index: The USD/Corn Exporter FX Index increased 1.0 point during Sep ’20, finishing at a record high value of 274.6. The USD/Corn Exporter FX Index has increased 11.9 points throughout the past six months and 132.1 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Corn Exporter FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. corn relative to other exporting regions (represented in green in the Global Corn Net Trade chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Argentine peso and Ukrainian hryvnia has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. USD appreciation within the USD/Corn Exporter FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains against the Ukrainian hryvnia, followed by gains by the Argentine peso and Russian ruble. USD declines were exhibited against the Brazilian real and South African rand. USD/Corn Importer FX Index: The USD/Corn Importer FX Index declined 0.8 points during Sep ’20, finishing at a seven month low value of 169.3. The USD/Corn Importer FX Index has decline 3.4 points throughout the past six months but remains up 42.3 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Corn Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for major corn importing countries (represented in red in the Global Corn Net Trade chart), making U.S. corn more expensive to import. USD appreciation against the Egyptian pound, Mexican peso and euro has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Corn Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Mexican peso, followed by gains by the Egyptian pound, South Korean won and Japanese yen. USD gains were exhibited against the euro. U.S. Corn Export Destinations: Major destinations for U.S. corn are led by Japan, followed by Mexico, South Korea, Columbia, Egypt and China. Japan accounts for 27% of the USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index, followed by Mexico at 24% and South Korea at 12%. Columbia, Egypt and China each account for between 5-10% of the index. USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index: The USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index declined 1.5 points during Sep ’20, finishing at a seven month low value of 149.6. The USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index has declined 3.3 points throughout the past six months but remains up 36.0 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. corn (represented in red in the U.S. Corn Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Mexican peso and has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Domestic Corn Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Mexican peso, followed by gains by the Japanese yen, South Korean won, Columbian peso and Chinese yuan renminbi. Soybeans FX Indices: The Atten Babler Commodities Soybeans Foreign Exchange (FX) Indices declined throughout Sep ’20. The USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index and the USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index declined to eight and 17 month low levels, respectively, while the USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index also finished lower throughout the month. Global Soybeans Net Trade: Major net soybeans exporters are led by Brazil, followed by the U.S., Argentina, Paraguay and Canada (represented in green in the chart below). Major net soybeans importers are led by China, followed by the EU-28, Mexico and Japan (represented in red in the chart below). Brazil and the United States each account for over two fifths of the USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index, followed by Argentina at 7%. China accounts for nearly two thirds of the USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index, followed by the EU-28 at 12%. USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index: The USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index declined 0.5 points during Sep ’20, finishing at a value of 226.4. Despite declining from the previous month, the USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index remains up 12.6 points throughout the past six months and 98.1 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index reduces the competitiveness of U.S. soybeans relative to other exporting regions (represented in green in the Global Soybeans Net Trade chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Brazilian real has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Soybeans Exporter FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Brazilian real, followed by gains by the Canadian dollar. USD gains were exhibited against the Argentine peso and Paraguayan guarani. USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index: The USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index declined 1.1 points during Sep ’20, finishing at a 17 month low value of 97.7. The USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index has declined 2.8 points throughout the past six months but remains up 14.9 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for major soybeans importing countries (represented in red in the Global Soybeans Net Trade chart), making U.S. soybeans more expensive to import. USD appreciation against the Chinese yuan renminbi has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Soybeans Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Chinese yuan renminbi, followed by gains by Mexican peso. USD gains were exhibited against the Turkish lira, euro and Russian ruble. U.S. Soybeans Export Destinations: Major destinations for U.S. soybeans are led by China, followed by Mexico, Indonesia and Japan. China accounts for nearly two thirds of the USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index. Mexico, Indonesia and Japan each account for between 5-10% of the index. USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index: The USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index declined 1.2 points during Sep ’20, finishing at an eight month low value of 101.4. The USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index has declined 3.0 points throughout the past six months but remains up 15.8 points since the beginning of 2014. A strong USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index results in less purchasing power for the traditional buyers of U.S. soybeans (represented in red in the U.S. Soybeans Export Destinations chart), ultimately resulting in less foreign demand, all other factors being equal. USD appreciation against the Chinese yuan renminbi has accounted for the majority of the gains since the beginning of 2014. Appreciation against the USD within the USD/Domestic Soybeans Importer FX Index during Sep ’20 was led by gains by the Chinese yuan renminbi, followed by gains by the Mexican peso. USD gains were exhibited against the Indonesian rupiah, Turkish lira and Russian ruble.  
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