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U.S. Dairy Cow Slaughter Update – May ’20

  • May 22, 2020
  • by Belinda Przybylski
Executive Summary U.S. dairy cow slaughter figures provided by the USDA were recently updated with values spanning through Apr ’20. Highlights from the updated report include:
  • U.S. dairy cow slaughter rates declined seasonally from the previous month but finished higher on a YOY basis for the first time in the past seven months during Apr ’20, increasing by 4.1% when normalizing for slaughter days and reaching a 34 year high seasonal level.
  • Month-over-month declines in dairy cow slaughter rates were led by Standard Federal Region 5 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin).
  • YOY increases in dairy cow slaughter rates were led by Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada).
Additional Report Details According to the USDA, Apr ’20 U.S. dairy cow slaughter rates declined 3.0% from the previous month but finished 4.1% higher on a YOY basis when normalizing for slaughter days. Dairy cow slaughter rates reached a 34 year seasonal high level for the month of April. The MOM decline in slaughter rates of 3.0% was significantly smaller than the ten year average March – April seasonal decline of 7.3%. The Apr ’20 YOY increase in U.S. dairy cow slaughter rates was the first experienced throughout the past seven months and the largest experienced throughout the past 11 months on a percentage basis. Dairy cow slaughter rates had finished higher on a YOY basis over 30 consecutive months prior to declining throughout six of the past eight months through Mar ’20. Recent declines in slaughter rates have contributed to the U.S. milk cow herd rebounding from the three year low level experienced during Jul ’19. The U.S. milk cow herd has increased by a total of 66,000 head throughout the past nine months, remaining near recently experienced 20 month high levels through the end of April. The Apr ’20 milk cow herd declined 4,000 head from the March revised figure, however, aided by the recent increase in slaughter rates. The U.S. milk cow herd currently stands at 9.381 million head, up 49,000 head from the previous year but remaining 57,000 head below the 23 year high level experienced during Jan ’18. Month-over-month declines in dairy cow slaughter rates were most significant throughout Standard Federal Region 5 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin), while slaughter rates throughout Standard Federal Region 6 (Arkansas, Louisiana, New Mexico, Oklahoma and Texas) increased most significantly from the previous month. YOY increases in dairy cow slaughter were led by Standard Federal Region 9 (Arizona, California, Hawaii and Nevada), while slaughter rates declined most significantly on a YOY basis throughout Standard Federal Region 5 (Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio and Wisconsin). 2019 annual dairy cow slaughter rates increased 4.4% on a YOY basis, reaching a 33 year high and a 35 year high level on a percentage of the total dairy cow herd basis.  
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